How to Calculate ARV for a Fix and Flip

ARV — After Repair Value — Is the single most important number in a fix and flip deal. If your ARV is wrong, your:

  • Purchase price is wrong

  • Rehab budget is wrong

  • Loan size is wrong

  • Profit projection is wrong

In other words, bad ARV = bad deal

Here’s the exact, proven process professional investors use to calculate ARV accurately — without guessing.


What is ARV?

ARV (After Repair Value) is the estimated market value of a property after renovations are completed. It answers one question:

What will this property realistically sell for once it is fixed up?

ARV is used to determine:

  • Your maximum purchase price

  • Your loan amount

  • Your profit margin

  • Your risk level


Step-by-Step: How to Calculate ARV Correctly

1.Find the Right Comparable Sales (Comps)

Your ARV is only as good as your comps.

Use sales that are:

  • Sold (not listed)

  • Within the last 3-6 months

  • Within 0.25 - 0.5 miles

  • Similar in

    • Square footage

    • Bed/bath count

    • Lot size

    • Property type

    • Age and construction style

Use renovated homes only — not fixer-uppers


2. Eliminate Outliers

Throw out

  • Foreclosures sold below market

  • Family or off-marker discount sales

  • Luxury rehabs far above the neighborhood norm

  • Homes on busy roads or alleys

Your goal is normal retail buying behavior, not special situations.


3. Adjust For Size and Features

If your subject property differs from the comps, adjust mentally or on paper for:

  • Extra or missing bedrooms

  • Bathroom count

  • Garage vs. no garage

  • Finished basements

  • Additions or porches

These adjustments refine the true market value range.


4. Determine the Realistic Price Range

After narrowing your comps, you should land within a tight price band.

For example:

  • Comp 1: $295,000

  • Comp 2: $305,000

  • Comp 3: $300,000

Your ARV should land inside this range, not above it.

In this example, a realistic ARV is:

  • $300,000 — not $330,000 “just in case.”


5. Match the Renovation Level — Not Just the House Size

ARV is based on finished quality, not just square footage.

If your comps have:

  • Quartz countertops

  • Soft-close cabinets

  • New windows

  • Modern layouts

Then your rehab must deliver the same buyer experience to justify the ARV.

Under-renovate = Overestimate ARV = Lost profit


Common ARV Mistakes That Kill Profits

  • Using active listings instead of sold comps

  • Using homes from different neighborhoods

  • Using luxury flips as comps in entry-level areas

  • Ignoring busy streets, train tracks, or commercial proximity

  • Assuming appreciation will “save the deal”

  • Stretching ARV to justify overpaying

Professional flippers would rather lose a deal than force ARV


How ARV is Used to Set Your Maximum Offer

Once ARV is set, investors back into their price using:

ARV - Rehab - Holding - Selling Costs = Max Purchase Price

Example:

  • ARV: $300,000

  • Rehab: $60,000

  • Holding & selling costs: $40,000

  • Target profit: $40,000

Maximum purchase price: $160,000

If you buy higher than that, you’re trading profit for risk.


How Lenders Use Your ARV

Your ARV determines:

  • Maximum loan amount

  • Loan-to-value (LTV)

  • Loan-to-cost (LTC)

  • Whether the deal even qualifies for funding

If your ARV is inflated, lenders will:

  • Reduce your loan

  • Require more cash

  • Or decline the deal entirely

Conservative ARVs close faster and protect your margins.


The Bottom Line

ARV is not a guess. It is a defensive investing tool that protects you from:

  • Overpaying

  • Over-renovating

  • Over-leveraging

  • And under-profiting

Every successful flip begins with one thing:

A conservative, well-supportive ARV.

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